Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.524708 3.926295 4.362213 4.871722 5.452379 6.095204 6.863057
2025-04-06 2.907724 3.436853 4.052615 4.826554 5.779470 6.922299 8.408511
2025-04-13 2.416376 2.977703 3.664011 4.573141 5.758140 7.267400 9.362648
2025-04-20 2.170097 2.767964 3.529622 4.584321 6.027836 7.965154 10.815001
2025-04-27 2.011938 2.643814 3.478099 4.679374 6.396658 8.813124 12.562140
2025-05-04 1.882656 2.539428 3.434365 4.768638 6.752446 9.667298 14.418328
2025-05-11 1.763012 2.433630 3.373400 4.818987 7.046184 10.451005 16.261246
2025-05-18 1.656581 2.334950 3.310068 4.853554 7.311114 11.209834 18.158113
2025-05-25 1.518012 2.176943 3.144353 4.712774 7.280404 11.484406 19.262711
2025-06-01 1.417930 2.067690 3.041407 4.657452 7.376422 11.970017 20.794821
2025-06-08 1.334662 1.977228 2.959061 4.625381 7.503613 12.516293 22.507490
2025-06-15 1.305031 1.967087 3.000572 4.798503 7.996566 13.760194 25.740446
2025-06-22 1.235478 1.890440 2.932078 4.783949 8.164498 14.445755 28.005361
2025-06-29 1.166541 1.810125 2.851649 4.741501 8.277157 15.040786 30.184588
2025-07-06 1.066120 1.671645 2.664409 4.493605 7.979843 14.798325 30.498775
2025-07-13 1.020423 1.621281 2.622809 4.504618 8.177586 15.570056 33.226236
2025-07-20 0.992130 1.598232 2.626142 4.597746 8.544420 16.734801 37.085322
2025-07-27 0.964829 1.574906 2.626881 4.685188 8.907790 17.937686 41.270007
2025-08-03 0.933600 1.542607 2.609001 4.734505 9.196349 19.011956 45.340050
2025-08-10 0.902293 1.508152 2.584607 4.768362 9.454664 20.050107 49.526011
2025-08-17 0.849667 1.432386 2.479019 4.630467 9.324548 20.159541 51.153013
2025-08-24 0.811893 1.381545 2.416918 4.576274 9.374511 20.707328 54.151134
2025-08-31 0.779538 1.338907 2.367725 4.544857 9.472671 21.386339 57.685420